Respuesta :
45% -------------------------------chance that the land has oil
then
55%--------------------------------chance that the land not have oil
80% -------------------accuracy rate of indicating oil in the soil. (if land does have oil)
20% -------------------accuracy rate of indicating not oil in the soil. (if land does have oil)
20% ---------------------accuracy rate of indicating oil in the soil. (if land has not oil)
80% ---------------------accuracy rate of indicating not oil in the soil. (if land has not oil)
that the land has no oil----------------55%
the test shows that it has oil-------- 20%
then 0.55*0.20=0.11=11%
the probability that the land has no oil and the test shows that it has oil is 11%
then
55%--------------------------------chance that the land not have oil
80% -------------------accuracy rate of indicating oil in the soil. (if land does have oil)
20% -------------------accuracy rate of indicating not oil in the soil. (if land does have oil)
20% ---------------------accuracy rate of indicating oil in the soil. (if land has not oil)
80% ---------------------accuracy rate of indicating not oil in the soil. (if land has not oil)
that the land has no oil----------------55%
the test shows that it has oil-------- 20%
then 0.55*0.20=0.11=11%
the probability that the land has no oil and the test shows that it has oil is 11%