Answer:
The probability that Swallows will win the trophy is 0.8064
The probability that Rucks will win the trophy is 0.1936
Step-by-step explanation:
For each game, there are only two possible outcomes. Either the Swallows win, or they do not. The probability of them winning a game is independent of any other game, which means that the binomial probability distribution is used.
Binomial probability distribution
The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.
[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]
In which [tex]C_{n,x}[/tex] is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.
[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]
And p is the probability of X happening.
Probability the Swallows wins is 0.56
This means that [tex]p = 0.56[/tex]
2 games:
This means that [tex]n = 2[/tex]
The probability that Swallows will win the trophy is
Probability they win at least one game, so:
[tex]P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)[/tex]
In which
[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]
[tex]P(X = 0) = C_{2,0}.(0.56)^{0}.(0.44)^{2} = 0.1936[/tex]
Then
[tex]P(X \geq 1) = 1 - 0.1936 = 0.8064[/tex]
0.8064 = 80.64% probability the Swallows win the trophy and 0.1936 probability that the Rucks win the trophy.
