The correct answer is "false."
It is false that Thomas Paine acknowledged that a colonial break from Britain would likely harm the American economy in the short term.
English thinker Thomas Paine -while living in Massachusetts- published the pamphlet "Common Sense," on January 9, 1776. In this 47-page document, Paine wrote his arguments to support the American independence movement, trying to influence the opinion of the American colonists.
As a result of a conflict between British troops and a colonial militia in Massachusetts, Thomas Paine published Common Sense.
There were already too many conflicts between the American Colonies and the English crown. All that heavy taxation such as the Sugar Act or the Stamp Act had generated anger and unconformity between the colonies. And the worst part was that the colonies had no voice or representation in the British Parliament.