Respuesta :
Answer:
The probability that at least two-third of vehicles in the sample turn is 0.4207.
Step-by-step explanation:
Let X = number of vehicles that turn left or right.
The proportion of the vehicles that turn is, p = 2/3.
The nest n = 50 vehicles entering this intersection from the east, is observed.
Any vehicle taking a turn is independent of others.
The random variable X follows a Binomial distribution with parameters n = 50 and p = 2/3.
But the sample selected is too large and the probability of success is close to 0.50.
So a Normal approximation to binomial can be applied to approximate the distribution of X if the following conditions are satisfied:
- np ≥ 10
- n(1 - p) ≥ 10
Check the conditions as follows:
[tex]np=50\times \frac{2}{3}=33.333>10\\\\n(1-p)=50\times \frac{1}{3}= = 16.667>10[/tex]
Thus, a Normal approximation to binomial can be applied.
So, [tex]X\sim N(np, np(1-p))[/tex]
Compute the probability that at least two-third of vehicles in the sample turn as follows:
[tex]P(X\geq \frac{2}{3}\times 50)=P(X\geq 33.333)=P(X\geq 34)[/tex]
[tex]=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}>\frac{34-33.333}{\sqrt{50\times \frac{2}{3}\times\frac {1}{3}}})[/tex]
[tex]=P(Z>0.20)\\=1-P(Z<0.20)\\=1-0.5793\\=0.4207[/tex]
Thus, the probability that at least two-third of vehicles in the sample turn is 0.4207.