Answer:
Probability = 0.004247
This will not classify as a "Near Miss) since it is a very low probability
Explanation:
The solution for this question is based on the formula for probability.
[tex]Probability = \frac{e_{d} }{e_{t} }[/tex]
Where
[tex]e_{d}[/tex] = Desired outcome
[tex]e_{t}[/tex] = Total outcomes
Since we know that the asteroid passed 1.5 million km of earth and the earth has a radius of is 6,371 km. We assume the asteroid has a trajectory that can only deviate in one direction (i.e. perpendicular to the earths surface) we input the following values into the formula
[tex]e_{d}[/tex] = Desired outcome = 6,371 km
[tex]e_{t}[/tex] = Total outcomes = 1,500,000 km
[tex]Probability = \frac{6,371 }{1,500,000}\\ Probability = 0.004247[/tex]